As Japan approaches its national upper house elections, a new topic has emerged at the forefront of political discourse: the presence and role of foreign nationals in Japanese society. With a historically conservative stance on immigration now facing increasing scrutiny and politicization, Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba has introduced a government task force aimed at navigating the complex dynamics between Japan’s citizens and its growing foreign population.
A state project launched at an opportune moment
The newly introduced program, which is formally named the Office for Fostering a Society of Harmonious Coexistence with Foreign Nationals, was revealed only a few days before the electorate goes to vote. This schedule is intentional. As populist views are becoming more influential and marginal parties are emphasizing immigration in their campaigns, the authorities seem to be addressing the increasing public conversation focused on national identity and economic pressure.
Prime Minister Ishiba framed the office as a central hub for coordinating policies that impact both citizens and foreign nationals. Although still in its early stages, the task force is expected to oversee areas such as immigration procedures, land purchases by non-citizens, and concerns over unpaid taxes or social insurance contributions. The government has also hinted at introducing tighter rules around medical debt, suggesting that individuals who owe significant healthcare bills could be denied visas or reentry.
This program is a segment of a larger strategy to tackle what the administration refers to as the “misuse” of government resources by certain foreign individuals. Nevertheless, specifics regarding implementation are unclear, prompting speculation about the potential impact on Japan’s global relations and its attractiveness as a location for both talented professionals and visitors.
Tourism boom and cultural friction
Despite the fact that foreigners account for only about 3% of Japan’s 120 million residents, the visible presence of international tourists and workers has grown significantly in recent years. In just the last decade, the population of foreign residents jumped from 2.2 million to nearly 3.8 million. The post-pandemic tourism boom has intensified this perception. In the first half of 2025 alone, over 21 million tourists visited the country, setting a new record.
The increase in visitors has caused noticeable friction in some areas, especially in regions with a lot of tourists. Locals frequently voice concerns about overcrowding, inconsiderate actions, and stress on community resources. In certain locations, officials have even set up physical barriers to prevent access to popular photo locations, like the debated screen installed to cover views of Mount Fuji following community protests regarding crowding and waste.
Even in areas renowned for their welcoming nature, like hot spring resorts, the increase in tourists has stirred worries among locals about the exhaustion of resources and the wear and tear on infrastructure. Moreover, some residents highlight the rising expenses of necessities such as rice and housing, which they blame—whether correctly or not—on international demand and economic influences from outside.
Employment and public services under scrutiny
Another concern being raised in the lead-up to the election involves access to public services and job opportunities. Some Japanese citizens feel that foreign workers are crowding out domestic job seekers or receiving disproportionate access to welfare programs. Though these claims are often anecdotal, they are fueling populist rhetoric that appeals to voters feeling left behind in an evolving economy.
A Tokyo retiree, speaking anonymously, expressed skepticism about the cultural compatibility of foreign workers, stating that differing traditions make coexistence difficult. Meanwhile, younger voices, like that of a 23-year-old office worker, echoed the belief that government support should prioritize citizens over non-nationals.
These opinions, although not necessarily backed by evidence, are gaining traction due to new political players. The Sanseito party, a conservative nationalist organization, has drawn notice with its agenda focusing on Japanese priorities. Even though they may not capture a dominant share, Sanseito has the potential to sway the power dynamics by appealing to disenchanted voters from major parties, such as the governing Liberal Democratic Party (LDP).
Separating perception from reality
Amid the mounting debate, experts caution that much of the current rhetoric is based more on perception than on factual trends. According to data from the Ministry of Justice, foreign nationals accounted for just over 5% of total arrests in 2023—a figure that includes both visitors and residents. Furthermore, Japan’s overall crime rate has been steadily declining over the past two decades, a trend that contradicts widespread concerns about deteriorating public safety.
Sociologists, including Shunsuke Tanabe from Waseda University, assert that the growing presence of international individuals has resulted in cognitive biases, leading some to erroneously connect demographic shifts with heightened insecurity. He cautions that these beliefs can be easily manipulated during election periods, particularly in the modern era of rapid misinformation dissemination.
Tanabe also notes that social media has amplified divisive narratives, making it easier for parties with anti-immigration platforms to gain traction. The result is a political environment where symbolic gestures—like establishing a new office—may carry more weight than substantive policy solutions.
Political maneuvering with long-term consequences
The situation holds significant implications for Prime Minister Ishiba and the LDP. Having lost their majority in the lower chamber the previous year, another disappointing result in the upper chamber election could increase the internal demand for Ishiba’s resignation. As Sanseito is anticipated to win multiple seats, every action to maintain public support becomes vital.
Some political observers view the new task force as a calculated attempt to appear responsive to voter concerns without drastically altering the nation’s immigration framework. Jeffrey Hall, a lecturer in Japanese studies at Kanda University, described the move as a tactical way to “signal strength” on a sensitive topic. However, he also warned that overly aggressive monitoring or restrictions on foreigners could backfire economically.
“If Japan fosters a setting where overseas employees sense they are not welcome or are being treated unjustly, it may jeopardize its efforts to achieve its workforce objectives,” Hall stated. “In a nation experiencing a decline in its working-age demographic, acquiring global skills is not a choice—it is crucial.”
An undeniable demographic reality
Japan’s demographic crisis remains one of the most pressing issues facing its society and economy. The country’s birth rate dropped to a record low of 1.15 in 2024, far below the replacement rate of 2.1 needed to maintain population stability without immigration. With life expectancy among the highest in the world, the result is an aging society increasingly reliant on younger workers—many of whom must come from abroad.
To tackle worker shortages, Japan has been broadening its visa initiatives, specifically targeting “specialized skilled workers” in sectors such as healthcare, construction, hospitality, and aviation. By October 2024, the foreign workforce reached a record 2.3 million, highlighting continuous attempts to occupy critical positions that cannot be fulfilled by Japanese employees alone.
Ishiba recognized this reality during the introduction of the new team, emphasizing that Japan needs to stay accessible to international talent and tourism to ensure sustained growth over time. “To address the issues brought on by a decreasing birthrate and an aging population, we must incorporate the vitality of the world community,” he stated.
Looking ahead
As the election draws closer, the balance between public sentiment and economic necessity will continue to shape Japan’s policies toward foreign nationals. While concerns about cultural integration and resource sharing deserve thoughtful attention, experts emphasize the need for data-driven policy, not reactionary measures driven by populist fear.
Japan stands at a crossroads—caught between its traditions of cultural homogeneity and the imperatives of an interconnected world. Whether the new task force will evolve into a constructive force for integration or simply serve as an election-season symbol remains to be seen. Either way, the decisions made now will have profound implications for Japan’s future as both a global economic power and a multicultural society.
